Saturday, September 17, 2005

The Wizard and Week 3

He is 9-5 (69.2%) and ready to rock and roll with seven selections. You'll have to click on the comments tab below to see the picks.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

UCLA (minus 6.5) — As stated here after Oklahoma's loss to TCU, the Sooners have problems across the offensive line and at quarterback. Fixing the line problem doesn't happen overnight, and I don't think OU will have it patched in time for the Bruins. UCLA can be flaky, but with its confidence building and a balanced offense, this is the Bruins' game. And to think in July you could have had UCLA and seven points at the Hilton. How things change.

Boston College (pick) — Expect wet conditions in Boston, which should work for the mudders, i.e. the Eagles. They have the Seminoles at home and are in a position similar to UCLA except you don't have to give points. And B.C. is 2-0 against the spread, so thus far it has been undervalued.

Michigan State (plus 6) — Could be a high-scoring game and the Spartans are catching Notre Dame in a good spot with the Fighting Irish coming off two emotional victories, Can they do this three weeks in a row with a game against their former coach next week? And Michigan State has a veteran quarterback, a big plus.

Alabama (plus 2) — A veteran quarterback, a good defense and a manageable number. Again, a veteran quarterback for the Tide. South Carolina's offense is not balanced and so far it has struggled to score, granted Georgia was a toughie. Alabama needs to get the running game cranked up.

Virginia Tech (minus 34.5) — Although giving this many points goes against common sense, Beamer has a history of running it up against outclassed opponents. Plus Ohio is coming off one of the biggest victories in team history, so a letdown is likely. I have not been impressed with Ohio's offense, so something in the 40s should work for the Hokies.

Rice (plus 41) — The Owls gave up 63 last week and with this number, would have nearly covered against UCLA. The defense scares me, but I'm playing this because Texas has been having a good time this week, enjoying the victory over Ohio State. A letdown is likely. If I recall, last season Rice was getting something like 31 and covered. Give me a 41-0 lead.

Arkansas (plus 31) — The word on the Trojans is that they will give up yards on the ground, and Arkansas is the nation's No. 1 rushing team. I believe the Razorbacks will try to keep the ball from USC by grinding it out and this is a big number for a Southeastern Conference team. It likely was inflated because of Vandy's win last week at Arkansas. Were the Razorbacks caught looking ahead?